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DRAMeXchange reports DRAM 2Q revenue grows 12.7%


13 August 2008 Semiconductors

Taipei, August 7, 2008 --- According to DRAMeXchange, Price of DRAM has been appreciated by 17% QoQ in contract market and only 4.4% in spot market in 2Q. The relatively strong price appreciation in the contract market has benefited those DRAM makers, who have a relatively high sales exposure to the contract market, with a relatively strong QoQ sales growth. But this situation excludes those who have caught in process node migration bottleneck in the quarter.

Powerchip, though having its target places at the spot market, also saw its sales from branded chips surpassed most rivals, thanks to decline of foundry production proportion and consistent expansion at Rexchip. Among all major players, only Qimonda saw its quarterly sales decline due to output shrink in 2Q.


By reviewing major players’ EBIT performance, Samsung is the only DRAM maker that managed to have made profit in 2Q on a dominant market share. Recalling the Korean player’s 1Q investor conference, it announced that it aims for a 100% YoY supply bit growth in 2008 with considerable resources spent already. It updated that its 2Q bit growth as 20%+, marking the biggest growth among all.

However, Samsung’s sales growth did not outstrip rivals because: 1. it has secured some long-term supply contracts with low quotes; 2. a depreciation of Korean won by 7% and; 3, ASP erosion of GDDDR and mobile RAM.

2008 WW Top 10 DRAM Brand Revenue Ranking (in Million USD)
 
(DRAM Revenue:Not Include Foundry,FLASH,CMOS Image Sensor)
 
Rank
Company
Revenue
Market Share
2Q08
1Q08
QoQ
2Q08
1Q08
1
Samsung
1,686
1,512
11.5%
25.9%
26.2%
2
Hynix
1,338
1,107
20.8%
20.5%
19.2%
3
Elpida
1,044
859
21.5%
16.0%
14.9%
4
Micron
803
747
7.4%
12.3%
12.9%
5
Qimonda
600
618
-2.9%
9.2%
10.7%
6
Powerchip
304
253
20.0%
4.7%
4.4%
7
Nanya
266
247
7.9%
4.1%
4.3%
8
ProMOS
234
170
38.0%
3.6%
2.9%
9
Winbond
67
71
-4.8%
1.0%
1.2%
10
Etron
63
76
-16.4%
1.0%
1.3%
 
Others
106
118
-10.3%
1.6%
2.0%
 
Total
6,511
5,779
12.7%
100.0%
100.0%

Market share among major DRAM makers only shows minimal change in 2Q. Market share breakdown by region is Korea 47.2%, Japan 16.3%, Taiwan 14.6%, US 12.5%, and Germany 9.4%.
 

 
In 2Q08, if DRAM foundry business revenue is included, the market share of PSC and Promos would be 8.2% and 4.5%.

Market share of Qimonda camp is expected to drop below 15% in 2008, down from 23% in 2006. The market share erosion because: 1. Qimonda will focus on Buried Wordline but not trench DRAM development in the future; 2. Nanya will gradually move away from trench DRAM production, 3. SMIC also to gradually phase out trench DRAM production and; 4. Inotera’s possible switch from trench to stack DRAM production.

Besides Qimonda, currently only the 200mn fab (Fab 1) and 300mm fab (Fab 3) at Nanya, and a very limited capacity at ProMOS, are still running trench DRAM production.
 
 
Samsung still grabs the largest market share among all camp at 25.89%, follows by Hynix and ProMOS’s 24.15%. Elpida achieves a stunning market share growth over the past two years upon capacity expansion at in house and Powerchip. By having a JV of Rexchip, the Elpida camp strives to get a bigger bite of the pie. Market share of the camp pegged 20.7at %. Since Qimonda and Elpida forge their partnership on from 40nm onwards without any other partnership underway at the moment, they are not being classified as a same group.

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